Feb 22

Last month in Ad Spend news

SoLoMo

Sam’s daily shared ad spend news articles and retweets from the past week Continue reading

Feb 21

Last Week in Traditional Media

television

Sam’s daily shared traditional media news articles & retweets Continue reading

Feb 14

How to forecast ad revenue

revenue forecast 1

For this exercise, I’ve remained with the same website I used to manage as an example. You’ll see I’ve filled in on the horizontal months. They actually start at December 2005, but for the sake of clarity I’ve only shown here 2009 through to the end of 2014. In other words I’ve taken the last three years’ worth of data for forecast the next 2. Ideally, you should try to go as far back as you possibly can, even if it’s only one month here and there – it’ll give you more background on which to rely. Continue reading

Feb 01

What are 174 more experts predicting for 2012?

2012

Every year I publish a round up of the various blog posts that crop up on the web predicting what next year will be like – I stick to interactive marketing and relevant topics as this would never end. Continue reading

Jan 27

Ad revenue forecasting – Traffic forecasting explained

traffic forecasting 1

For this exercise, I’ve taken numbers from one website I used to manage as an example. You’ll see I’ve filled in on the horizontal months. They actually start at December 2005, but for the sake of clarity I’ve only shown here 2009 through to the end of 2014. In other words I’ve taken the last three years’ worth of data for forecast the next 2. Ideally, you should try to go as far back as you possibly can, even if it’s only one month here and there – it’ll give you more background on which to rely. Continue reading

Jan 20

Ad revenue forecasting – requirements

data-pic

This forecast method is better than others for a number of reasons outlined at the end of this post. But rather than jump ahead to the answer, see next what level of granularity of data you’ll need to build your forecasting tool internally and try to figure out why this method could be better than others. Continue reading

Jan 06

So you want better ad revenue forecasting?

Dollar sign with Shadow

This is quite possibly the least exact science there is: ad revenue forecasting. Every publisher goes through this exercise on an annual basis. Budget period comes around at different times for different companies. Most media operators either operate on a calendar year (January to December) or a broadcast year (September to August) but there are some differences. In most cases, budgets have to be proposed 4 months out and finalised a good month or 2 before the start of the new fiscal year. Continue reading